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9/21/2006

Thailand's "smooth as silk" coup hits no turbulence

By Peter Janssen, dpa

Bangkok (dpa) - Thailand has arguably taken coup-making to new heights of non-violence, judging by the peaceful response to Tuesday's bloodless blitzkrieg that toppled prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra from power and put a junta in command of the kingdom.

Thai Army Commander-in-Chief Sonthi Boonyaratklin brought troops and tanks into Bangkok Tuesday night and took over the country without firing a shot, putting a junta in power that has promised to hand over the reins of government to a cabinet of appointed civilians within two weeks and hold a general election within a year.

"I have seen 15 coups myself in the past 30 years and this was the easiest one yet," said Luzi Matzig, a long time resident in Thailand who runs Asia Travels, a tour agency. "A smooth-as-silk kind of coup," quipped Matzig, playing on Thailand's national airline's advertising slogan "THAI - Smooth as Silk."

By Thursday most of the tanks had been removed from the capital and the remaining soldiers posted at shopping malls and intersections had to contend with mobs of tourists trying to have their photos taken with the helmeted heroes, rather than irate Thaksin supporters.

According to an opinion survey conducted by Suan Dusit Rajabhat University, some 82 per cent of the people polled in Bangkok were in favour of the coup and, even more surprising, 86 per cent supported it in the provinces.

Thaksin's Thai Rak Thai Party has won the past three elections with handsome majorities, so one wonders where all those supporters have gone in the aftermath of the coup.

Some, obviously, have gone abroad.

Thaksin's most steadfast supporter, his wife Pojaman, took a flight to Singapore on Tuesday night accompanied by their son Panthongtae and youngest daughter Paethongtarn. The family has reportedly been reunited in London, where Thaksin arrived Wednesday from New York and where his eldest daughter Pimthongta is studying.

They are all staying in an apartment building that Thaksin, a billionaire, recently bought in London.

Several of Thaksin's political allies, such as former agriculture minister Sudarat Keyuraphan and former finance minister Somkid Jatusripitak are also abroad, currently in France.

Other close allies are under army detention in Bangkok, such as former deputy premier Chidchai Vanasatidya and close ally Prommin Lertsuidej. Newin Chidchob and Yongyudh Tiyapairat, two former Thaksin advisors, turned themselves in to the Administrative Reform Council, as the junta has styled itself, on Thursday.

But what about the 19 million Thais who voted for the Thai Rak Thai in the general election of February, last year?

Thaksin and his TRT were most popular in Thailand's northern and northeastern provinces, where the majority of the country's rural poor reside.

There are several practical reasons why these provincial supporters may be keeping mum. For starters, the Administrative Reform Council has yet to lift martial law, which prohibits public gatherings of more than five people.

Secondly, any organized protest would require money to transport demonstrators from the countryside to the capital, and with Thaksin out of the country and his TRT in disarray, they are no longer in the rent-a-crowd business.

Poor farmers are both too poor and too busy to spend money on demonstrations themselves.

The lack of pro-Thaksin uprisings in the countryside may also shed light on the nature of the ousted premier's past popularity.

"If you have money in Thailand you are popular, and Thaksin gave away a lot of money," said Kraisak Choonhavan, a former senator and son of former prime minister who was similarly popular in the impoverished north-east.

"My father's popularity stemmed from the fact that when he had rallies he paid people to come," acknowledged Kraisak. "Thaksin was no different."

The mood of Thailand's rural voters may also been affected by the months of anti-Thaksin protests this year that have exposed many of Thaksin's dubious business deals and controversial governance style.

"Most northeasterners still support Thai Rak Thai but they think Thaksin should have quit. He has failed to clear up many of the accusations against him," said Paiboon Paengsoi, a TRT supporter from Khon Kaen province.

Thaksin not only won the animosity of Bangkok's middle class this year, he also came under heavy criticism from the country's elite, including former premier Prem Tinsulanonda, who now heads the Privy Council of Thailand's much-revered King Bhumibol Adulyadej.

Prem in several public speeches this year questioned Thaksin's moral qualifications to rule and in one speech reminded the military that their leader was the king, not an elected prime minister.

General Sonthi, in justifying his Tuesday coup, included Thaksin's efforts to undermine the monarchy. The junta was quick to get a royal endorsement of their temporary government Wednesday night, although as head of state, King Bhumibol is duty-bound to endorse all new governments.

When asked to explain the overwhelming support for Tuesday's coup, despite Thaksin's one-time popularity, senior TRT member and former government spokesman Jakrapob Penkair, noted, "Thailand is a king-centric country."

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